Income Investing - Why isn't this easy?
by Steve
Selengut
Most people
(including myself) would insist that Equity Investing
is the most difficult to master. After all, that
is the venue for: erratic price fluctuations caused
by an endless supply of social, economic, and political
variables; the standard Wall Street misinformation,
corporate malfeasance, self- serving financial
gurus, and product sales persons; a myriad of popular
and market moving speculations from IPOs to Option
and Margin strategies; thousands of media talk
shows and their financial markets' experts. When
you think you understand the stock market brother,
you are in serious trouble.
But more devastating than everything that has been
done to turn Equity Investing into a product shopping
mall of some kind, is the bottom-line/market- value
brainwashing that has taken the calm, secure, and
smiley-faced world of Income Investing and turned
it upside down. I get more phone calls and e-mails
from confused Income Investors than I ever receive
from a simple plunge in Equity prices. Admittedly,
very few Equity investors get to that special place,
shouting "Eureka!" as they first realize that corrections
in the "Shock" Market are every bit as lovable
as rallies. But not recognizing that slowly rising
interest rates is as much a boon for both fixed
and variable Income Investors as it could possibly
be a temporary set back for a struggling economy...
well, that's just another example of irresponsible
investor counter-education from our much too respected
friends in the financial institutions.
Income Investors must learn to hold these truths
to be self evident: (1) More interest on your invested
dollars is just plain better for you than less
income on your invested dollars, and the amount
you have allocated to Income Investing should never
change because of market factors. (2) A change
in the Market Value of the Fixed Income Securities
you already own has absolutely no bearing on any
assumptions that could possibly be made about the
credit worthiness of the issuers of the securities
themselves, most of the time. (3) A change in the
Market Value of your Fixed Income holdings will
rarely have a negative impact on the regular recurring
income that you receive and, after all, you bought
these securities for the income in the first place.
(4) Buying fixed income securities in a rising
interest rate environment has a positive, compounding
effect on portfolio yields and, at the same time,
plants the seeds for future capital gains as interest
rates recede. (5) Many fixed and variable income
securities can be added to as interest rates rise
both to increase the average yield AND to decrease
the average cost of the securities.
Why is this not easy?
It's not easy because financial professionals and
pseudo-professionals alike won't let it be. If
you have a properly designed Investment Portfolio,
you must view each segment separately and with
an understanding of the purpose of each. Avoid
advisors who consider the bottom line market value
of such a portfolio as anything other than an "expectation
corroborator" (and your just going to have to call
me if you don't know what that is). Your portfolio
market value should never be a surprise and, more
importantly, it should never be looked at as something
to be particularly concerned about... at least
not immediately. For example, you had to be living
in a cave somewhere and smoking something really
special to think that your Interest Rate Sensitive
(or Investment Grade equity) portfolio would be
up in market value from June of 2007 through mid-March
of 2008.
You really have to learn to love the simplicity
of Income Investing. Interest rate sensitivity
is a given (and, by the way, interest rate expectations
themselves are sensitive to inflation expectations).
Price movements are both predictable and meaningless.
We actually have an investment condition that approaches
certainty. This is an investment nirvana, people!
Don't let those guys in the pinstripes get you
confused. Don't panic, don't switch, and don't
cry in your beer. Look at the income number on
your statement and go "hmmmm" when you see no meaningful
change in either direction. (Actually, if you're
doing this properly, the year over year Base Income
figure should have increased.)
So the recent bad news (all of it) is really good
news for investors and yes, just as higher interest
rates are actually better than lower ones to a
certain extent, so should lower stock prices be
welcomed with more smiles than tears. Only those
speculators who haven't taken their rally profits
are unhappy with corrections... and that is true
in both Equity and Income Securities Markets. Dealing
with both events at the same time can make your
bottom (line) a bit uncomfortable, but only until
you recognize that smaller numbers are better for
buying and that their larger cousins are best appreciated
with sell orders.
During all types of corrections, some investment
professionals will play to your fears, encouraging
you to cut your losses, and to switch to something
else... generally something that is cycling upwards.
You don't have losses UNLESS you fall for this
switching advice. Don't be pushed into such decisions
no matter how smart the arguments seem. All fixed
income investments (with the exception of open
end Mutual Funds) are created equally and switching
just doesn't work. An unhappy investor is Wall
Street's best friend; so don't allow interest rate
movements in either direction to affect your investment
mood...
Steve Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.valuestockindex.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor:
The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to
Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret Investment Strategy" |