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Medium Term Trend Checklist (20-50 trading days)

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Stock Check List - DJIA medium term trend checklist
Stock: DJIA BUY/SELL Rating: -5 Date: April 22nd, 2005
Indicator Confirming Negating
Trendlines
(read report)
  Downtrend
20 & 50 day SMA's
(read report)
 

20 & 50 day SMA down

MACD
(read report)

MACD-H
(read report)

 

MACD downtrend

MACD-H downtrend

RSI (21)
(read report)

 

Downtrend
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Points: 0 positive 5 negative

Trader Tips:

RSI:

Here's what Welles Wilder has to say about using RSI:

"One of the most useful tools employed by many technicians is the momentum oscillator. The momentum oscillator measures the velocity of directional price movement. When the price moves up very rapidly, at some point it is considered overbought; when it moves down very rapidly, at some point it is considered to be oversold. In either case, a reaction or reversal is imminent. The slope of the momentum oscillator is directly proportional to the velocity of the move. The distance travelled up or down by the momentum oscillator is proportional to the magnitude of the move."

Wilder indicates five factors in interpreting RSI alongside price:

  • Tops and bottoms: When RSI goes above 70 or below 30. RSI usually tops out or bottoms out before the actual market, giving an indication of imminent reversal, or at least reaction.
  • Chart formations: Patterns, including tops or bottoms, triangles and trendline breaks.
  • Failure swings: when the RSI goes above 70 or below 30 but fails to exceed the previous high or low.
  • Support and Resistance: support levels in RSI are often analogous to those on the price chart.
  • Divergence: divergence between price action and the RSI is a very strong indicator of market turning points.

For detailed information see the report on RSI

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