1.0
Overview
The Dow Jones Industrial
Average (DJIA) has been considered one of the most
important indicators of the overall condition of the
stock market since it's creation in the late 19th
century. The DJIA is a price-weighted average of 30
companies. These companies are perceived to be the
largest and most influential companies (blue chip
stocks and primarily industrial) on the US markets.
The 30 companies are chosen by the editors of the
Wall Street Journal (published by Dow Jones & Company),
which has been publishing the Dow Jones Averages since
October 7, 1896. The DJIA is calculated by adding
the prices of the 30 stocks and dividing by an adjusted
denominator.
1.1
History of the Dow Jones Averages
Charles H. Dow (1851-1902),
an American economist and publisher along with Edward
D. Jones (1856-1920) established Dow Jones & Co.
(1882), a publisher of financial news. In 1889 he
founded the Wall Street Journal. Dow wanting a system
to keep track of the conditions of the stock market
devised a formula to calculate the stock averages
starting with only eleven stocks. On May 26, 1896,
the first Dow/Jones Industrial Average was published.
1.2
Problems in the investment market
In the early years of
the investment market (1800's), the general market
was bond based. Investors were focused on securities
that were backed by physical assets (like factories,
machinery, etc.) which had specified interest rates
and dates of maturity when the principle was to
be returned. The stock market, on the other hand,
does not work with the principle of a backed security
but rather, works as a partial ownership of an organisation.
This partial ownership does not have any claim to
that organisations hard assets.
In addition, Wall Street
had the problem of analyzing the daily price changes
to determine whether stocks generally were rising
or not. Charles Dow stepped in with his first Dow
Average. In 1884, he began with 11 stocks representing
the largest and most influential companies of the
time. At the time, railroads were the prime candidate
for his averages. Generally, industrial companies
were considered more speculative.
1.3
The first average
The first average
was published on July 3rd, 1884 in Customer's
Afternoon Letter. The average initially comprised
of:
-
Chicago
& North Western
-
Union Pacific
-
Delaware,
Lackawanna & Western
-
Missouri Pacific
-
Lake
Shore
-
Louisville
& Nashville
-
New
York Central
-
Pacific
Mail
-
St.
Paul
-
Western
Union
-
Northern
Pacific preferred
1.4
The first industrial average
Charles Dow continued
to modify the list until finally on May 26, 1896
he had created a list that comprised primarily industrial
companies. The DJIA had emerged:
-
American Cotton Oil
-
American
Tobacco
-
American
Tobacco preferred
-
Distilling
& Cattle Feeding
-
General
Electric
-
General
Electric preferred
-
Laclede
Gas
-
National
Lead
-
North
American
-
Tennessee
Coal & Iron
-
Tennessee
Coal & Iron preferred
-
U.S.
Leather preferred
In October of 1896, Charles
Dow also created the railroad average which consisted
of 20 railroad companies and in 1929 he created
the utilities averages. The railroad average was
later renamed in 1970 to the transportation average.
Some of the original companies like GE are still
listed on that average today.
For a complete history
of the Dow Jones Industrial Average back to 1885
click
here.
1.5
The DJIA in today's terms
One of the strengths
in the DJIA average is that it is unweighted. Most
other indexes weight their listings and modify their
importance based on market capitalization. The DJIA
chooses the top 30 companies which represent the
majority of the market. Even though there exists
some criticism of the choices, the DJIA represents
every important sector (with the exceptions of transportation
and utilities).
The concept behind using
big bluechips behind the index was Charles Dow's
reasoning that only the largest and most respectable
companies should be part of the average. In the
early 20th century these companies were exclusively
listed on the NYSE and became known as "blue
chips". Today some of the DJIA listings appear
on the NASDAQ, and it is not a necessity for the
company to be listed on the NYSE.
Companies that are listed
on the DJIA are not likely to disappear anytime
soon. They are a blend of the largest in the US.
These companies are favored by low risk investors
because historically, these stocks have stability
and pay dividends. However, the price growth is
limited. In any case, the Dow averages are indicative
of the overall US market trend and are a useful
tool to the investor.
Historical excel spreadsheet,
yearly DJIA values
since 1900. (Excel file, .xls)
1.6
The last 100 years (or so)

This chart represents
the DJIA value since 1900 with a values of 68.13
to 10507.97 on 4/12/2005. That's quite the increase
over 100 years, but you really only needed to hop
in the late 80's to reap most of the reward.