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Beginners Guide to Technical Analysis

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Steps to analyzing an opportunity

Irregardless of where you found the stock you are about to analyze, the steps should always be the same.

1) Is the company fundamentally sound? (don't forget to compare your company with it's primary competitors)

Apply fundamental checklist. The fundamental checklist will represent whether the company is solid or not. For more information on fundamental analysis click here.

If yes, proceed to step 2

2) Is this a good time to buy/sell this company?

Apply technical checklist. The technical checklist will represent whether it is a good time to buy/sell the company or not.

If yes, proceed to action.

Notices or assumptions:

  • It will be assumed that every trading has a different philosophy when it comes to trading risk and experience. (Trading risk as in length/cost/amount of trade and experience as in related history to help decide stocks as well as trading experience.) This is why what works for one person may not work for another.
  • It is suggested to new traders to paper trade until they can answer the questions of why to buy or sell. Paper trading can develop confidence as well as remove emotion from the decision making process. It also helps ensure that the investor is doing proper research into their investment.
  • When looking at a potential stock for investment a checklist is important. These checklists ensure that you have done your due diligence in your decision. An investor should have two checklists, one for fundamentals and one for technical analysis.

Sample Technical Analysis Checklist
Example Technical Stock Check List
Stock: BUY/SELL Rating: insert total point score Date:
date of checklist
Confirming:
total posistive points
Negating:
total negative points
Trending Indicators (indicators based on trend)
Example: Trend indicator 1
Trendlines
Example: uptrending +1 Example: downtrending -1

Trend indicator 2

(insert indicators as needed)

   

Trend indicator 3

(insert indicators as needed)

   
It is advised to at a minimum include trendlines. Trendlines are also important with other indicators to show convergences and divergences. Also when trading a stock that is trending these are very useful type of indicators while they are less effective in range bound situations.
For more information on more indicators click here
Patterns (chart patterns)
Example: Candlestick patterns +1 for strong pattern,
+0.5 for weak pattern
-1 for strong pattern,
-0.5 for weak pattern
Example: Chart patterns +1 for strong pattern,
+0.5 for weak pattern
-1 for strong pattern,
-0.5 for weak pattern
Click for more information on more candlesticks or some basic chart patterns
Volume Indicators (indicators based on volume)
Example: Volume (Dow) Example: +1 for positive trend Example: -1 for negative trend

Volume indicator 2

(insert indicators as needed)

   

Volume indicator 3

(insert indicators as needed)

   
It is advised to at a minimum include volume, other volume indicators such as OBV, PVT can be included as well based on the needs of the trader. For more information on more indicators click here
Overbought/Oversold indicators
Example: Stochastics    

Indicator 2

(insert indicators as needed)

   

Indicator 3

(insert indicators as needed)

   
When trading a range bound stock these types of indicators are very useful, these are less effective for trending stocks. For more information on more indicators click here
Strength Indicators (momentum indicator)
Example: RSI    

Indicator 2

(insert indicators as needed)

   

Indicator 3

(insert indicators as needed)

   
Strength indicators tend to reveal good examples of convergences and divergences which can help warn of a change in trend. For more information on more indicators click here
______________________________________________________________________
Total Points score: Positive points: Negative points:

The intention of this checklist is to provide a sample checklist for your trading system. Each investor should modify their checklist to meet their needs and risk requirements. It is also important to test your system and it is advised to paper trade a system rather than back-test your system. The reasoning behind paper trading versus back-testing is that back-testing removes the human factor which is extremely important.

Your checklist should also have a "reason to buy" score as well as a "reason to sell" score. It is the technical analysis part of an investing system where the trader can maximize their investment potential and beat the market average. The ability to buy or sell a stock when the trend has changed is a powerful tool and it is when you sell that you make or lose your profits.

Tips:

  • Don't fight the market, you won't win
  • Don't fight the trend, see #1.
  • Sell when you are wrong, better to loose 5% than 50%.
  • Don't sell right away when you are right! Wait till the trend weakens or changes. This pays for your wrongs and your bragging rights.
  • The market is always right even when you are convinced you are.
  • Don't trade with your emotions, thinking someday it will come back up is not a sound investment strategy. Build a checklist and stick with it, when you are wrong fix your checklist and get out early. It is the long term that is important.

 

Fundamentals and Technical Handbook

We've taken the indicators and fundamental reports from the ChartFilter website and put them all together in this printable, 190-page PDF (Adobe Acrobat) e-book for just $24.95. See sample

A  Guide to Trend

A great place to start! An introduction to technical analysis with a focus on understanding trend, trend indicators and setting up a trading system, 50-page PDF (Adobe Acrobat) e-book for just $19.95. See sample

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