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Building a technical checklist

Charts aren't the final solution to making smart investment decisions. They don't provide all the answers but they are an important investment tool. If you are a serious investor you need charts as much as a plumber needs a pipe wrench. Sure, he could do his job without the proper tools but could he do it nearly as efficiently and effectively? And, if the tools are readily available, isn't it foolhardy to continue working without them?

Charts, and technical analysis, will completely change your way of relating to potential investments. They provide a filtering mechanism or framework for selecting investments that provide a good potential for profit.

Let me show you how very quickly.

Within minutes of looking at a price chart I can tell whether I'm interested in further information on a particular market or not. This saves me hours of wading through miscellaneous reports, analyses, trading tips, and newsletters. Once I've selected potentially profitable investments I plan my strategy according to sound principles, including fundamental analysis.

This business-like approach to investing may not offer the thrills of buying and selling on the spur of the moment but it does lead to greater profits and restful nights. You may be thinking, "I don't know what all the fuss is about. Investing boils down to simply knowing when to get in and when to get out."

You would be perfectly right; successful investing comes down to a matter of correctly answering these two questions:

  1. WHAT to buy and sell.
  2. WHEN to buy and sell.

If you've lost money on some of your investments you already know what all the fuss is about.

When to buy and sell can be solved by the use of a technical buy/sell checklist. This solves half the battle.

Three Simple Rules

  1. BUY only when the long term trend is UP.
  2. SELL only when the long term trend is DOWN.
  3. STAND ASIDE when the long term trend is SIDEWAYS.

Buy when the price is going up and sell when it is going down. Go with the trend. It sounds so simple, doesn't it? Yet, how many times have you purchased an investment without even considering the long term trend - the direction prices are headed? The price of a stock or commodity, any market for that matter, acts like a fully loaded freight train. Once a direction is established it becomes resistant to change. And the longer it heads in one direction the greater the momentum.

Day traders are in a category all their own, of course! (And they're usually the first to admit it!) The long term trend is relatively meaningless to a daytrader - however daytraders must still anticipate the direction of the trend no matter how short-lived or ephemeral. If you daytrade you just play by a different set of rules; the fundamental actions of the market don't change.

So, next problem, how can we confirm what direction the trend is going and when it has changed? We need a system that removes our emotions from the decisions, we might see what we want rather than what exists.

There are several forms of checklists, but they all follow the same principle. Martin Pring, a well known analyst, states the art of technical analysis is "to identify trend changes at an early stage and to maintain an investment posture until the weight of the evidence indicates that the trend has reversed." (Technical Analysis Explained by Martin J. Pring, 1991). Which is exactly what our checklist should let us accomplish, to answer three questions: when to get in, when to get out, when to stand aside.

Also is important to note that checklists should vary from trader to trader based on their trading style, risk level, time frame. The following checklist is for trading the longer term trend.

The point system in the checklist ranges from around +20 to -20, the higher the number, the stronger the uptrend (and further into the uptrend), the lower the number, the stronger the downtrend (and further into the downtrend). Sideways trends trend to have a static number range.

Rules to this checklist:

  1. +/- 0.5 points for weak or warning signals
  2. +/- 1 point for confirmation signals
  3. Sideways trends or "wait and see" signals are given negative points.
  4. entry and exit conditions are based on the change of trend of the point numbers, ie: the points move from -12 downtrend, 0 side trend, +4 breakout (entry), +12 uptrend, 0 sidetrend, -4 breakdown (exit).
  5. Stick to your rules and be confident in those rules. (Confidence is accomplished by practice and experience, if you are a new trader you can get experience and practice by paper trading before risking your capital. All trades have inherent risk.)

Ultimately all the rules to this checklist are to ensure that the first three rules are followed. (1, BUY only when the long term trend is UP. 2, SELL only when the long term trend is DOWN. 3, STAND ASIDE when the long term trend is SIDEWAYS. ) With the addition that we want to enter at the beginning of the long term trend, and exit at the trend reversal.

This system is a trend based system, and is important to ensure that the new trend can be confirmed. This checklist works for trend traders looking to trade the longer term trends. Also entry and exit point values will vary depending on the traders experience and risk level.

Stock Check List - Trending checklist
Stock:
<insert stock>
BUY/SELL Rating:
<total point score>
Date:
<date of checklist>
Indicator

Confirming:
<total posistive points>

Negating:
<total negative points>
Trending Indicators (indicators based on trend)
Trendlines if uptrending +1 if downtrending -1
5, 20, 50, 100 day SMA's positive crosses get +1
+1 if price above MA

negative crosses get -1
-1 if price below MA

MACD
MACD-H

+1 for positive crosses
+1 for positive trend
MACD-H +1 for convergence

-1 for negative crosses
-1 for negative trend
MACD-H -1 for divergence
ADX/DMI

ADX +1 for crossing up 30
ADX +1 for convergence
+1 for +DI above -DI
+0.5 for DI convergence

ADX -1 for crossing down 20
ADX -1 for divergence
-1 for +DI below -DI
-0.5 for DI divergence
Volume Indicators (indicators based on volume)
Volume (Dow) +1 for positive trend -1 for negative trend
OBV +1 for positive trend
+1 for convergence
-1 for negative trend
-1 for divergence
PVT +1 for positive trend
+1 for convergence
-1 for negative trend
-1 for divergence
Patterns (chart patterns)
Support/Resistance Breakout +1 for strong pattern, +0.5 for weak pattern
-1 for strong pattern, -0.5 for weak pattern
Candles (short term trend marker)
+1 for reliable pattern, +0.5 for weak pattern
-1 for reliable pattern, -0.5 for weak pattern
Strength Indicators (momentum indicator)
RSI

+1 for crossing up 30
+0.5 for convergence

-1 for crossing down 70
-0.5 for divergence
__________________________________________________________________________
Points: - positive - negative
** download PDF of blank checklist

If you are trading a shorter time frame or a constricted market phase, try using stochastics as well. This checklist is only a starting list of indicators, nothing says you have to use this set. This is only a framework to help you build your system that you are confident in. For a larger list of signals see our signals page or for a larger list of indicators see our indicators page.

These checklists also give the trader an excellent screening systems to find new opportunities.

 

Fundamentals and Technical Handbook

We've taken the indicators and fundamental reports from the ChartFilter website and put them all together in this printable, 190-page PDF (Adobe Acrobat) e-book for just $24.95. See sample

A  Guide to Trend

A great place to start! An introduction to technical analysis with a focus on understanding trend, trend indicators and setting up a trading system, 50-page PDF (Adobe Acrobat) e-book for just $19.95. See sample

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